📊 THE SETUP:
📍 SPX Current: ~6385
⚡ CPI: 8:30 AM (High volatility event)
⚖️ BIAS BREAKDOWN:
📉 BEARISH FACTORS (Slight Edge):
- Recent Run Extended – Market due for pullback
- CPI Uncertainty – Can create sudden selling
- At Key Resistance – 6400 area major ceiling
- Profit Taking Zone – Natural area for selling
📈 BULLISH FACTORS:
- Strong Technical Support – 6350 level well-defended
- ES Holding Key Levels – 6372 support intact
- Momentum Structure – Still in uptrend pattern
- Volume Confirmation – Support levels showing interest
🎯 FIRST ENTRY BIAS:
📉 PUTS SLIGHTLY FAVORED:
Why: Extended move + CPI uncertainty + resistance overhead
🔴 PUT SCENARIO:
- IF CPI creates weakness toward 6350-6340
- AND we get rejection/weak bounce
- THEN puts targeting lower support levels
📈 CALL SCENARIO (Secondary):
- IF strong bounce at 6350 support
- AND buying interest continues
- THEN calls back toward 6385-6400
⚠️ CPI WILD CARD:
Market can move violently at 8:30 AM – could override everything temporarily!
🎯 STRATEGY: Wait for CPI reaction, then trade the levels with PUTS getting slight edge due to natural pullback probability after recent strength.
Bias: 60% PUTS / 40% CALLS 📉
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