SPX Zero DTE Playbook – October 22, 2025

📍 Yesterday’s Close: 6735.35
🎯 Today’s Battleground: 6700 – 6750


🧭 Market Context

SPX enters the session in a balanced to slightly bullish structure, hovering near the upper end of its recent range.
Open interest (OI) shows two competing magnets — heavy call positioning at 6750, and strong put support at 6700.

This means dealers and funds are likely to defend 6700 while leaning on 6750 as the near-term ceiling.
If price opens near the midpoint (≈6730–6740), expect early indecision before a directional push.


📊 Key Zones (OI + Volume Clusters)

Zone TypeLevelObservation
🧱 Resistance (Call Wall)6750Largest concentration of calls; upside likely capped here unless volume breaks out.
🟨 Magnet Zone6725–6740High-volume region where intraday chop or fakeouts may occur.
🛡️ Support (Put Wall)6700Strong put interest — likely the line of defense for bulls.
⚠️ Breakdown Zone6675–6650If 6700 breaks with momentum, sellers can accelerate into this zone.

👵 Grandma’s Bias (Data Over Feelings)

“We’re opening right between the tug-of-war zones. Let the first 30 minutes tell you who’s got control.”

  • Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish early in session while above 6725.
  • The data shows buyers defending dips near 6700, but momentum fades near 6750 where heavy calls sit.
  • A breakout above 6750 could trigger a short-covering squeeze toward 6770–6780.
  • A drop below 6700 could attract fast downside flow toward 6675–6650.

🎯 Scenarios & Triggers

ScenarioBiasTriggerTargetConfidence
🟢 Base CaseNeutral → BullishHold above 67256745 → 6750 → 677065%
🔻 Bearish BreakdownBearishLose 67006675 → 665060%
⚖️ Chop ZoneNeutralBetween 6700–6750Mean reversion to 673075%

🧩 Intraday Notes

  • Magnet Zone: 6725–6740 remains the battleground.
  • Upside confirmation: Needs sustained hold above 6750 for bullish extension.
  • Downside risk: Increases below 6700 where puts dominate.
  • No catalyst = Pin day — expect a slow gravitation back to 6730–6740.

🧠 Grandma’s Takeaway

“Don’t guess the direction — let the magnets tell you.”

  • Above 6750 → ride the squeeze cautiously.
  • Below 6700 → respect the downside acceleration.
  • Between 6700–6750 → don’t overtrade the chop.

⚠️ Disclaimer

This analysis is based on options positioning (OI + Volume) and dealer exposure zones for SPX.
It is not financial advice. Always confirm setups with live price action and apply disciplined risk management.

Related Posts