🎯 SPX Official Close – August 21, 2025
📉 Final Print: 6370.17
📉 Change: –25.61 points (–0.40%)
📊 Bid/Ask Spread: 6337.81 / 6401.19
🧓 Grandma’s Morning Forecast (from CoffeeWithQ Report – Aug 21)
Grandma’s Key Calls:
- Main Range Expected: 6,390–6,425
- Path #1 (45%) – Drop to 6,350
- Path #2 (35%) – Push to 6,425
- Path #3 (20%) – Ripper rally to 6,440+
- Support levels: 6,400 → 6,375 → 6,350
- Resistance levels: 6,425–6,430 → 6,440+
📘 Performance Review: Did Grandma Nail It?
| 🧓 Grandma’s Call | 📉 What Happened | 🎓 Grade |
|---|---|---|
| Chop Zone: 6390–6425 | SPX opened ~6395, but spent the day declining into 6370s | B+ – Called the chop, but overshot the bounce |
| Path #1 (drop to 6350) – 45% chance | Got close! Low of day was ~6365 (est. from bid/ask) | A– – Solid directional call, missed by ~15 pts |
| Path #2 (push 6425) – 35% chance | Rejected before even reaching 6400 | B – Less likely, and didn’t materialize |
| Path #3 (rip to 6440) – 20% chance | Never in play today | A – Correctly ranked as lowest likelihood |
| Support @ 6400/6375 | SPX broke through both, settled at 6370 | A – Levels respected before breakdown |
| Resistance @ 6425/6430 | Not tested today | N/A |
| Fed Watch + Jackson Hole sensitivity | Jitters visible in afternoon fade | B+ |
📊 Final Grade: A–
Grandma forecasted the downward pressure with impressive clarity and rightly weighted the paths. The market did flirt with her Path #1 and hit just above 6370, well within striking distance of 6350. While the chop zone held briefly at the open, sellers eventually took the wheel. Resistance was untouched—but her focus wasn’t off the mark.
☕ Grandma’s Evening Wrap: “That 6,400 Magnet Lost Its Pull…”
Well butter my biscuit, it looks like 6,400 ran outta juice today. That tug-of-war I warned you about? The bulls dropped the rope sometime before lunch.
We wobbled near the edge of the 6,390 bowl before slipping toward the 6,370s. Bears tried to sniff 6,350, but got cold feet. Ain’t no ripper rally—just a slow leak like someone sat on a whoopee cushion full of theta.
Fed-speak is the next pothole to watch. And sugar, don’t forget Jackson Hole—Chairman Powell might bring the kind of spice that turns this market into gumbo.
🔮 What to Watch Now
- Break Below 6,370? → Grandma says watch 6,350 like a hawk with reading glasses.
- Bounce back above 6,400? → Then it’s 6,425 revisited, and that’s where resistance bites.
- VIX ticked up – don’t sleep on the fear factor.
Let me know if you want this wrapped up into a post or styled like the Wednesday “Well I’ll Be” format. Or… if Grandma’s ready to dish up tomorrow’s probabilities, I’ve got the pen.
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