Date: Thu Sep 10, 2026 |
We study SPY and Trade SPX SPDR 500 ZERO DTE Index.
🎯 QZ ALGO CREED — Probability Over Prediction
We don’t forecast. We read positioning — where Market Maker exposure sits, where the walls are, and how MM is priced across strikes. That tells us where price is constrained, not where it’s going. Structure decides the trade.
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📋 EXECUTIVE DASHBOARD — SPY Thu Sep 10, 2026
| Snapshot | Value | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Spot | 762.99 | Below Flip & Max Pain — wedged between the two biggest magnets |
| Max Pain | 766 | ~3 above — bounce target, but capped by the call wall |
| Flip | 769.2 | Spot −6.2 below → deep negative / amplification |
| #1 / #2 Absolute | 765 / 760 | Both negative — price sits between them → chop with a down lean |
LEVEL LADDER (high → low):
| Dir | Level | Role |
|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | 770 | Daddy Bull (+10M) — heavy call wall / ceiling (7,127 call OI) |
| 🟢 | 768 | Mama Bull (+7.5M) — call wall |
| 🟢 | 767 | Baby Bull (+2.3M) |
| 🟠 | 769.2 | FLIP (overhead) |
| 🔵 | 766 | MAX PAIN + battle (near-flat: +11.1 calls vs −11.4 puts) |
| 🔴 | 765 | #1 Abs + Mama Bear (−8.1M) + put wall |
| ⚪ | 764 / 763 | Thin red battles |
| ☕ | 762.99 | WE ARE HERE (spot) — thin pocket |
| ▼ | 762 / 761 | Negligible OI — air |
| 👹 ▼ | 760 | #2 Abs + Daddy Bear (−16.3M) + monster put wall |
| 🔴 ▼ | 755 | Baby Bear (−6.9M) — deep |
THE THREE PATHS:
| Path | Trigger → Target |
|---|---|
| 🟢 Bullish | Reclaim 765 → 766 (Max Pain), but the 767–770 call wall caps the upside |
| ⚪ Neutral | Chop 760–765, wedged between the #1 and #2 magnets |
| 🔴 Bearish | Lose 762 → 760 monster wall; break 760 → 755 |
⚡ OPENING NOTE
SPY Spot: 762.99 · Max Pain: 766 · Flip: 769.2. The slide continued — price is now wedged between the two biggest magnets on the board: 765 (#1 Abs, Mama Bear −8.1M + put wall) just overhead and 760 (#2 Abs, Daddy Bear −16.3M + monster put wall) just below. Both are negative — when price sits between #1 and #2 a clean trend is hard to form, so expect chop, but with both magnets bearish the lean is down toward 760. Above, 766 is a Max-Pain battle (calls ≈ puts) and then a heavy call wall at 767–770 (770 alone holds 7,127 call OI) that caps any bounce. Below spot the board is thin air (761/762 barely register) until the 760 wall. So: chop 760–765 with a downside bias, a capped bounce toward 766, and a break of 760 opening 755. Read it with structure — no levels, no trade.
📊 TV VALUES
📌 OI / Levels Note: These are pre-market LEVELS — a positioning snapshot taken before the open. Open Interest and MM exposure shift as the live chain updates through the session, so treat these as the map and the bias, not real-time truth.
SPY String — paste into QZ ALGO Daily Magnets:
767,768,770,762.99,766,769.2,755,765,760,765
SPX String:
7670,7680,7700,7629.9,7660,7692,7550,7650,7600,7650
Options Flow — VOLUME (Strike, Calls, Puts):
770, 25K, 3K
768, 24K, 2K
767, 24K, 4K
766, 35K, 6K
765, 48K, 13K
Options Flow — OPEN INTEREST (Strike, Calls, Puts):
770, 7K, 2K
768, 4K, 2K
767, 3K, 2K
766, 2K, 2K
765, 2K, 3K
🌡️ QZ TEMPERATURE
🌡️ SPY — Level then COLOR (Sign):
760 RED (Minus)
765 RED (Minus)
755 RED (Minus)
767 GREEN (Plus)
768 GREEN (Plus)
770 GREEN (Plus)
766 / 764 / 763 = untagged battles — high Absolute but near-flat net (766 especially: +11.1 call vs −11.4 put ≈ flat, in neither top-3 list). SIGN IS TRUTH: we only color a strike the chart clearly paints.
🧭 STRUCTURE CHECK
Market Structure (5 Min):
| Structure | Level | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot (P) | 766.93 | Overhead |
| S3 (pivot floor) | 762.37 | Pressing — small HL base attempt |
| Current | ~761.4–762.5 | At the lows |
Q ALGO™ Status: 🔴 DOWNTREND (LH + LL) — testing S3, small HL base attempt
Price rolled from the pivot (766.93) straight down through S1/S2 and is pressing S3 (762.37) with a small higher-low base attempt near 762. It’s below every day-pivot. Reclaim 762.37 → 764/765 to attempt a base into the 766 magnet; lose 762 and the amplification runs into the 760 monster wall. (Structure reads ~761.4–762.5; the exposure snapshot reads spot 762.99 — aligned, both pressing the lows.)
🎯 CONFLUENCE — WEDGED BETWEEN #1 AND #2
Spot sits directly between the two largest Absolute magnets — 765 (#1) above and 760 (#2) below — and both are negative. That’s the textbook “between #1 and #2” setup: hard to trend cleanly (chop), but with both magnets bearish the drift favors the downside. Overhead, the picture is a capped ceiling: 766 is a Max-Pain battle, then 767–770 is a heavy positive call wall (770 = 7,127 call OI) that pins/resists — so even a bounce toward Max Pain 766 runs into a wall. Below, the immediate strikes (761/762) are hollow (negligible OI), leaving an air pocket into the 760 wall (Daddy Bear −16.3M, put OI 3,941), with 755 the next shelf beneath. Net: a bearish chop-box between 760 and 765, a capped bounce to 766, and a flush to 755 only if 760 gives.
📊 DECISION TABLE
| Level | What It Is | Action |
|---|---|---|
| 770 | 🎯 Daddy Bull (+10M) — heavy call wall (7,127 OI) | Hard ceiling |
| 768 | 🎯 Mama Bull (+7.5M) — call wall | Resistance |
| 767 | 🎯 Baby Bull (+2.3M) | Resistance |
| 769.2 | 🟠 FLIP | Regime gate (far overhead) |
| 766 | 🔵 MAX PAIN + battle | Capped bounce target |
| 765 | 👹 #1 Abs + Mama Bear (−8.1M) + put wall | Overhead magnet |
| 764 / 763 | Thin red battles | Chop |
| 762.99 | ☕ WE ARE HERE (Spot) | Thin pocket |
| 762 / 761 | Negligible OI — air | Nothing to lean on |
| 760 | 👹 #2 Abs + Daddy Bear (−16.3M) + monster put wall | Deep floor / magnet |
| 755 | Baby Bear (−6.9M) | Next shelf if 760 breaks |
🎯 THREE BEARS / THREE BULLS (by MM Exposure size)
THE THREE BEARS (Negative):
| Bear | Strike | MM Exposure | OI | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 = DADDY | 760 | −16.3M | 4.7K | 64.2K |
| S2 = MAMA | 765 | −8.1M | 4.6K | 61.2K |
| S3 = BABY | 755 | −6.9M | 4.0K | 19.0K |
S1 (760) is the monster wall + #2 Abs just below spot; S2 (765) is the #1 Abs put wall just above — the two jaws of the chop-box.
THE THREE BULLS (Positive):
| Bull | Strike | MM Exposure | OI | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 = DADDY | 770 | +10.0M | 8.9K | 27.6K |
| B2 = MAMA | 768 | +7.5M | 5.8K | 25.4K |
| B3 = BABY | 767 | +2.3M | 4.8K | 27.9K |
🔴 Bears dominate the tape, bulls cap the ceiling. Bears ~31.3M vs Bulls ~19.8M ≈ 1.58:1 — but note all three bulls sit overhead (767–770), forming a call-wall lid rather than support. There is no positive exposure below spot to lean on. Negative/amplification regime: chop between the 760/765 jaws, capped by the 767–770 wall, biased toward 760.
☕ RANGE ZONE
| Zone | Why |
|---|---|
| 760 — 765 | Spot is boxed between the #1 Abs put wall (765) and the #2 Abs monster wall (760). Thin, hollow strikes between them make it chop, but both jaws are bearish — lean down. Hold 760 and 766 is the capped bounce; lose 760 and 755 opens. |
Commentary: 763 (~143K) and 764 (~98K) carry the heaviest churn on the board by volume — but tiny OI, so it’s flow passing through, not positioning. The real positioning sits at 760 and 765 (the walls) and 770 (the call ceiling). Only strikes with a clean call/put split appear in the flow tables.
✈️ Pilots — read the live chain at the open. These newsletter values are pre-market LEVELS; the options chain is real-time data. Check the live chain around 9:45–10:00 AM ET, once conditions settle, and confirm the walls are still where the letter has them. Levels give you the map and the bias — the live chain is the truth at the open, so weight your reliance accordingly before you trade.
📋 OI TABLE — SUPPORT vs RESISTANCE (Spot-Anchored)
Build your levels
🔎 QZ MM ANALYSIS — VIP EDITION
Open Interest (OI) ONLY — the top MM walls, calls vs puts. See the branded SPY MM Levels chart delivered with this letter.
CALL MM LEVELS (RESISTANCE) — MM
| Strike | Call OI | Pre Volume | Pre Market Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 770 | 7,127 | 24,628 | |
| 768 | 4,022 | 23,540 | |
| 766 | 2,306 | 34,793 |
PUT MM LEVELS (SUPPORT) — MM
| Strike | Put OI | Pre Volume | Pre Market Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 760 | 3,941 | 55,676 | |
| 765 | 3,046 | 12,871 | |
| 766 | 2,384 | 5,623 |
⚖️ Disclaimer
This is not investment advisory. I’m not calling trades. I’m teaching you to think. Trading futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The IKIGAI Algo and any associated indicators, tools, or educational materials are provided for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Q Levels and affiliated parties are not registered investment advisors, broker-dealers, or financial planners. By participation, you acknowledge you are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and any resulting gains or losses. No guarantees of profit or specific results are made or implied. All sales are final. Please trade responsibly and only risk capital you can afford to lose. Errors and omissions excepted.
— Q Levels Trading | Coffee With Q ☕