Date: Wed Aug 19, 2026 | Expiration: Aug 19, 2026
We study SPY and Trade SPX SPDR 500 ZERO DTE Index.
🎯 QZ ALGO CREED — Probability Over Prediction
We don’t forecast. We read positioning — where Market Maker exposure sits, where the walls are, and how MM is priced across strikes. That tells us where price is constrained, not where it’s going. Structure decides the trade.
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📋 EXECUTIVE DASHBOARD — SPY Wed Aug 19, 2026
| Snapshot | Value | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Spot | 767.04 | Below the Flip — in the negative zone |
| Max Pain | 775 | Far above — mostly out of reach |
| Flip | 769.1 | Spot below → negative regime / amplification |
| #1 / #2 Absolute | 770 / 774 | Both negative → amplify-down bias |
LEVEL LADDER (high → low):
| Dir | Level | Role |
|---|---|---|
| 🔵 | 775 | Max Pain (far above) |
| 🟢 | 776 | Lone tiny positive (+2.2M) |
| 🔴 | 774 / 773 / 772 | Negative overhead |
| 🟠 | 770 | #1 Abs + Daddy Bear (−24.2M) + put wall |
| 🟠 | 769.1 | FLIP (+ 769 put wall) |
| 🔴 | 768 | Negative — highest volume (173K) |
| ☕ | 767.04 | WE ARE HERE (below the Flip) |
| 🔴 ▼ | 765 | Negative shelf |
| 🔴 ▼ | 760 | Big put wall / Mama Bear (−18M) — deep magnet |
THE THREE PATHS:
| Path | Trigger → Target |
|---|---|
| 🟢 Bullish | Reclaim 769.1 Flip → squeeze toward 770/773 (no call resistance above) |
| ⚪ Neutral | Chop 767–769 under the Flip |
| 🔴 Bearish | Stay below 769.1 / lose 765 → amplify to 760 |
⚡ OPENING NOTE
SPY Spot: 767.04 · Max Pain: 775 · Flip: 769.1. Tuesday’s Flip gave way — price lost 770.37 and dropped ~5.6 more, and now sits below the Flip (769.1) in a full negative/amplification regime. The board is drowning in negatives: 770 (#1 Abs, Daddy Bear −24.2M) sits just overhead near the Flip, 769 is another put wall, and 760 (−18M) is a big downside put-wall magnet. There is almost no positive exposure and essentially no call resistance overhead — so a reclaim of the Flip has room to squeeze, but while price stays below it, moves amplify. Reclaim 769.1 → squeeze toward 770/773; stay below / lose 765 → amplification down to 760. Read it with structure — no levels, no trade.
📊 TV VALUES
SPY String — paste into QZ ALGO Daily Magnets:
780,779,776,767.04,775,769.1,769,760,770,770
SPX String:
7800,7790,7760,7670.4,7750,7691,7690,7600,7700,7700
Options Flow — VOLUME (Strike, Calls, Puts):
774, 25K, 2K
773, 32K, 3K
770, 51K, 21K
769, 78K, 55K
760, 0K, 53K
Options Flow — OPEN INTEREST (Strike, Calls, Puts):
774, 5K, 6K
773, 2K, 4K
770, 0K, 4K
769, 0K, 2K
760, 0K, 9K
🌡️ QZ TEMPERATURE
🌡️ SPY — Level then COLOR (Sign):
770 RED (Minus)
774 RED (Minus)
773 RED (Minus)
769 RED (Minus)
760 RED (Minus)
776 GREEN (Plus)
779 GREEN (Plus)
780 GREEN (Plus)
🧭 STRUCTURE CHECK
Market Structure (5 Min):
| Structure | Level | Status |
|---|---|---|
| LH (Lower High) | ~769.00 | Downtrend high |
| LL (Lower Low) | ~767.00 | Structure target |
| Current | ~767.4 | Pressing the lows |
📊 DECISION TABLE
| Level | What It Is | Action |
|---|---|---|
| 776 | 🎯 Daddy Bull (+2.2M) — lone green | Thin pin above |
| 775 | 🔵 MAX PAIN | Far magnet above |
| 774 | 🎯 #2 Abs (24.8M) — net −1.8M | Overhead battle |
| 773 | Abs #3 (20.6M) — net −5.6M | Battle |
| 772 | Abs #6 (18.4M) — negative | Battle |
| 770 | 🎯 #1 Abs (30.1M) + Daddy Bear (−24.2M) + put wall | Overhead wall (at the Flip) |
| 769.1 | 🟠 FLIP | Regime gate |
| 769 | Baby Bear (−13.1M) + Abs #4 + put wall | Just above spot |
| 768 | Abs #7 (14.9M) — negative | Battle (highest volume) |
| 767.04 | ☕ WE ARE HERE (Spot) | Below the Flip |
| 765 | Abs #8 (13.5M) — negative | Shelf |
| 760 | 👹 Mama Bear (−18M) + Abs #5 + put wall | Deep downside magnet |
🎯 THREE BEARS / THREE BULLS (by MM Exposure size)
THE THREE BEARS (Negative):
| Bear | Strike | MM Exposure | OI | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 = DADDY | 770 | −24.2M | 4.7K | 72.4K |
| S2 = MAMA | 760 | −18.0M | 8.6K | 53.0K |
| S3 = BABY | 769 | −13.1M | 2.8K | 132.5K |
S1 (770) is #1 Abs + the put wall at the Flip; S2 (760) is the deep downside magnet.
THE THREE BULLS (Positive):
| Bull | Strike | MM Exposure | OI | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 = DADDY | 776 | +2.2M | 7.9K | 11.0K |
| B2 = MAMA | 779 | +0.85M | 3.7K | 4.9K |
| B3 = BABY | 780 | +0.79M | 5.2K | 8.5K |
☕ RANGE ZONE
| Zone | Why |
|---|---|
| 765 — 770 | Spot sits below the Flip between the 770 wall/Flip and the 765/760 shelf. On negative exposure a break runs fast — reclaim 769/770 for the (unobstructed) squeeze up, lose 765 for the amplification toward 760. |
🎯 Q ALGO™ CHECKLIST — WE DON’T TRADE EMOTIONS, WE LOOK FOR CLUES
| Step | What We Check |
|---|---|
| 1 | LEVELS (from this newsletter) |
| 2 | 15-Min chart |
| 3 | 5-Min chart |
| 4 | 1-Min chart |
| 5 | BANDS |
| 6 | River |
| 7 | Volume Line (Fair Value) |
| 8 | Candle for Entry |
| 9 | Flip Line |
| 10 | Trend Context (Trend Engine) |
| 11 | Pivots |
| 12 | LQ Areas |
| 13 | Entry Candle |
| 14 | Flow |
| 15 | VSA + QVDD |
No Structure = No Trade. Not all checklist items need to align — build your edge based on your own edge. Amplification day below the Flip: respect 769.1 — a reclaim opens the squeeze up, staying below keeps the 760 magnet in play.
📋 OI TABLE — SUPPORT vs RESISTANCE
| Call OI (Resistance) | Strike | Put OI (Support) | PCR (P/C OI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5,251 | 774 | 6,100 | 1.16 |
| 2,461 | 773 | 4,310 | 1.75 |
| ~450 | 770 | 4,205 | 9.28 |
| ~460 | 769 | 2,315 | 5.07 |
| ~130 | 760 | 8,503 | 66.9 |
⚖️ Disclaimer
This is not investment advisory. I’m not calling trades. I’m teaching you to think. Trading futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The IKIGAI Algo and any associated indicators, tools, or educational materials are provided for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Q Levels and affiliated parties are not registered investment advisors, broker-dealers, or financial planners. By participation, you acknowledge you are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and any resulting gains or losses. No guarantees of profit or specific results are made or implied. All sales are final. Please trade responsibly and only risk capital you can afford to lose. Errors and omissions excepted.
— Q Levels Trading | Coffee With Q ☕