Date: Mon Sep 14, 2026
We study SPY and Trade SPX SPDR 500 ZERO DTE Index.
🎯 QZ ALGO CREED — Probability Over Prediction
We don’t forecast. We read positioning — where Market Maker exposure sits, where the walls are, and how MM is priced across strikes. That tells us where price is constrained, not where it’s going. Structure decides the trade.
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📋 EXECUTIVE DASHBOARD — SPY Mon Sep 14, 2026
| Snapshot | Value | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Spot | 764.48 | Bounced +6.5 off Friday’s lows — back in the green zone |
| Max Pain | 759 | ~5.5 below — downside magnet |
| Flip | 773.4 | Spot −8.9 below → still under the Flip |
| #1 / #2 Absolute | 765 / 760 | 765 = mega magnet (+28.8M); price pinned just under it |
| Bias | 🟢 Positive / pinning | Bulls 56.7M vs Bears 16.9M ≈ 3.4:1 |
| Board PCR (OI) | ~0.6 | Call-heavy — call walls/magnets stacked 765–770 |
LEVEL LADDER (high → low):
| Dir | Level | Role |
|---|---|---|
| 🟠 | 773.4 | FLIP — overhead, not yet reclaimed |
| 🟢 | 770 | Bull #3 (+11.2M) — call wall |
| 🟢 | 767 | Bull #2 (+16.7M) — call wall (very call-heavy, PCR 0.11) |
| 🟢 | 765 | #1 Abs + MEGA magnet (+28.8M, call-heavy) — the pin |
| ☕ | 764.48 | WE ARE HERE — pinned just under 765 |
| 🟢 | 762 | Positive shelf (#5 Abs) |
| 🟢 | 760 | #2 Abs — small put wall (PCR 1.11) |
| 🔵 | 759 | MAX PAIN — blue/green flip boundary |
| 🔵 ▼ | 755 | Blue (Plus) — put wall (PCR 3.73) |
| 🔵 ▼ | 750 | Blue (Plus) — deep |
| 🔵 ▼ | 745 | Blue (Plus) — deep floor |
THE THREE PATHS:
| Path | Trigger → Target |
|---|---|
| 🟢 Bullish | Hold 765 → grind to 767/770; reclaim 773.4 Flip = full bull |
| ⚪ Neutral | Pin 762–765 at the mega magnet |
| 🔴 Bearish | Lose 762 / 760 → Max Pain 759, then 755 |
⚡ OPENING NOTE
SPY Spot: 764.48 · Max Pain: 759 · Flip: 773.4. Big reversal. Friday’s monster-bear lows (~758) bounced ~6.5, and — more important — the board has flipped GREEN (positive net) from ~759 up. This is the navy/blue NET chart, so the whole board reads (Plus) — blue below zero, green above, no red today. 765 is now a mega magnet: #1 Absolute (61.8M), +28.8M net, call-heavy (6,907 calls vs 2,511 puts) on a massive 206K volume — price is essentially glued to it. Positive-net = pinning / mean-reversion, so this is a calmer, magnetized tape versus last week’s amplification. Call-side magnets stack above (767 +16.7M, 770 +11.2M). It’s still below the Flip (773.4), so this is a positive pin shelf, not a full bull regime — Max Pain 759 is the downside magnet if the green shelf (762/760) fails, with deep blue floors at 755/750/745. Hold 765 for a grind to 767/770; lose 760 for the fade to 759. Read it with structure — no levels, no trade.
📊 TV VALUES
📌 OI / Levels Note: These are pre-market LEVELS — a positioning snapshot taken before the open. Open Interest and MM exposure shift as the live chain updates through the session, so treat these as the map and the bias, not real-time truth.
SPY String — paste into QZ ALGO Daily Magnets:
770,767,765,764.48,759,773.4,750,755,745,765
SPX String:
7700,7670,7650,7644.8,7590,7734,7500,7550,7450,7650
Options Flow — VOLUME (Strike, Calls, Puts):
770, 28K, 3K
767, 41K, 18K
765, 81K, 126K
760, 4K, 32K
755, 1K, 12K
Options Flow — OPEN INTEREST (Strike, Calls, Puts):
770, 5K, 2K
767, 3K, 0K
765, 7K, 3K
760, 3K, 3K
755, 1K, 4K
🌡️ QZ TEMPERATURE
🌡️ SPY — Level then COLOR (Sign):
765 GREEN (Plus)
767 GREEN (Plus)
770 GREEN (Plus)
764 GREEN (Plus)
762 GREEN (Plus)
760 GREEN (Plus)
755 BLUE (Plus)
750 BLUE (Plus)
745 BLUE (Plus)
This is the navy/blue NET chart → the whole board is (Plus). Green = above zero, BLUE = below zero. The below-zero strikes (745/750/755) are BLUE (Plus), NOT red — do not mark them red. SIGN IS TRUTH: color comes from the chart bar, and today no bar is red.
🧭 STRUCTURE CHECK
Market Structure (5 Min):
| Structure | Level | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Higher High | ~766 | Rally high |
| Pivot (P) | 758.19 | Well below — price above all pivots |
| Current | ~764.2 | Pulling back to the 765 magnet |
Q ALGO™ Status: 🟢 UPTREND (HH) — above all pivots, pulling back into the 765 magnet
Price rallied to a higher high near 766 and is above every day-pivot (R3 761.66), now pulling back a touch to ~764.2 — right into the 765 mega magnet. Hold 765 / R3 (761.66) and the grind can continue to 767/770; lose them and the pull is toward Max Pain 759. (Structure reads ~764.2; the exposure snapshot reads spot 764.48 — aligned, both pinned at 765.)
🎯 CONFLUENCE — POSITIVE SHELF, PINNED TO THE MEGA MAGNET
The regime flipped: positive net exposure now dominates from ~759 up, and 765 is a mega magnet pulling price to it. #1 Abs (765, 61.8M, +28.8M) sits right at spot with heavy call OI — on a positive-net board that means pinning, not a wall to fear; price gravitates to and hangs around it. Above, 767 (PCR 0.11) and 770 are more positive magnets — a grind-up path if 765 holds. Below, the green shelf (762/760) sits over Max Pain 759 (the blue/green boundary) and then blue floors at 755/750/745. Two caveats keep this honest: (1) it’s still below the Flip (773.4), so it’s a positive pin shelf, not a confirmed bull regime; (2) 765 is call-heavy, so a decisive break above it can accelerate up (dealers chase), while a loss of the 760/759 shelf drops back toward the blue zone. Pin/grind is the base case.
📊 DECISION TABLE
| Level | What It Is | Action |
|---|---|---|
| 773.4 | 🟠 FLIP | Reclaim = full bull regime |
| 770 | 🎯 Bull #3 (+11.2M) — call magnet | Grind target |
| 767 | 🎯 Bull #2 (+16.7M) — call magnet (PCR 0.11) | Grind target |
| 765 | 🎯 #1 Abs + MEGA magnet (+28.8M) | The pin — hold = up |
| 764.48 | ☕ WE ARE HERE (Spot) | Pinned under 765 |
| 762 | Positive shelf (#5 Abs) | First support |
| 760 | #2 Abs — small put wall (PCR 1.11) | Shelf support |
| 759 | 🔵 MAX PAIN — blue/green boundary | Downside magnet |
| 755 | 🔵 Put wall (PCR 3.73) | Deeper support |
| 750 / 745 | 🔵 Deep blue floors | Far downside |
🎯 THREE BEARS / THREE BULLS (by MM Exposure size)
THE THREE BULLS (Positive):
| Bull | Strike | MM Exposure | OI | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 = DADDY | 765 | +28.8M | 9.4K | 206.3K |
| B2 = MAMA | 767 | +16.7M | 3.5K | 59.1K |
| B3 = BABY | 770 | +11.2M | 6.5K | 31.2K |
B1 (765) is the mega magnet/pin at spot; B2/B3 (767/770) are the grind-up path above.
THE THREE BEARS (Negative):
| Bear | Strike | MM Exposure | OI | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 = DADDY | 745 | −6.4M | 12.6K | 2.6K |
| S2 = MAMA | 755 | −5.6M | 5.2K | 12.2K |
| S3 = BABY | 750 | −4.9M | 7.0K | 7.4K |
🟢 Bulls dominate. Bulls ~56.7M vs Bears ~16.9M ≈ 3.4:1. The bears are tiny and deep (745–755) — no real overhead resistance, just far-below blue floors. All the size is in the positive magnets around/above spot. (Note: the “bears” carry negative net exposure, but on this navy chart their QZ Temperature is BLUE (Plus) — two different things: exposure sign vs chart color.)
☕ RANGE ZONE
| Zone | Why |
|---|---|
| 760 — 767 | Spot pins to the 765 mega magnet inside a green/positive shelf. Positive-net dampens the tape (mean-reversion). Hold 765/762 for the grind to 767/770; lose 760 for the fade to Max Pain 759. |
Commentary: 765 carries an enormous 206K total volume (put vol 126K vs call vol 81K) — the whole tape is trading around this one magnet. 764 (~102K) and 767 (~59K) follow. Only strikes with a clean call/put split appear in the flow tables.
🎯 Q ALGO™ CHECKLIST — WE DON’T TRADE EMOTIONS, WE LOOK FOR CLUES
| Step | What We Check |
|---|---|
| 1 | LEVELS (from this newsletter) |
| 2 | 15-Min chart |
| 3 | 5-Min chart |
| 4 | 1-Min chart |
| 5 | BANDS |
| 6 | River |
| 7 | Volume Line (Fair Value) |
| 8 | Candle for Entry |
| 9 | Flip Line |
| 10 | Trend Context (Trend Engine) |
| 11 | Pivots |
| 12 | LQ Areas |
| 13 | Entry Candle |
| 14 | Flow |
| 15 | VSA + QVDD |
No Structure = No Trade. Not all checklist items need to align — build your edge based on your own edge. Positive pin day: respect the 765 magnet (hold = grind up to 767/770) and 760/759 (lose = fade to the blue zone). Pinning dampens moves — don’t expect Friday’s range; trade the mean-reversion around 765 with structure.
✈️ Pilots — read the live chain at the open. These newsletter values are pre-market LEVELS; the options chain is real-time data. Check the live chain around 9:45–10:00 AM ET, once conditions settle, and confirm the walls are still where the letter has them. Levels give you the map and the bias — the live chain is the truth at the open, so weight your reliance accordingly before you trade.
📋 OI TABLE — SUPPORT vs RESISTANCE (Spot-Anchored)
| Zone | Strike | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 R3 | 767 | ||||
| 🟢 R2 | 766 | ||||
| 🟢 R1 | 765 | ||||
| ☕ SPOT | 764.48 | — | — | — | WE ARE HERE |
| 🟢 S1 | 764 | ||||
| 🟢 S2 | 763 | ||||
| 🟢 S3 | 762 |
CALL MM LEVELS (RESISTANCE) — MM sold calls here, defends up:
| Strike | Call OI | Volume | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 765 | |||
| 770 | |||
| 767 |
PUT MM LEVELS (SUPPORT) — MM sold puts here, defends down:
| Strike | Put OI | Volume | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 755 | |||
| 760 | |||
| 765 (ITM) |
⚖️ Disclaimer
This is not investment advisory. I’m not calling trades. I’m teaching you to think. Trading futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The IKIGAI Algo and any associated indicators, tools, or educational materials are provided for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Q Levels and affiliated parties are not registered investment advisors, broker-dealers, or financial planners. By participation, you acknowledge you are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and any resulting gains or losses. No guarantees of profit or specific results are made or implied. All sales are final. Please trade responsibly and only risk capital you can afford to lose. Errors and omissions excepted.
— Q Levels Trading | Coffee With Q ☕